TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:04 AM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants, through this market, are expressing their collective view on Google’s stock price in October 2026. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically based on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may provide a range of price targets, this market offers a continuously updated, aggregated forecast based on actual money at stake. It’s a way to see what people are *doing* rather than what they *say* about the future price of Google stock. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of disagreement or differing levels of confidence.
On Opinion, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different Google stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability that Google will reach that price by the resolution date. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of conviction behind each potential outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of Google’s future stock performance.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the closing price of Google (GOOGL) stock on the last trading day of October 2026. The closing price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. Traders will be paid out based on whether the actual closing price falls within the range predicted by their chosen contract. The market's outcome is determined by publicly available market data, ensuring transparency and objectivity.
Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Nov 1, 2026. Major announcements from Google regarding new products, financial performance, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic conditions, such as interest rate changes or recessions, could also influence investor sentiment and, consequently, the market. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the technology landscape could also play a role. Furthermore, significant changes in competitor performance or regulatory actions impacting Google's business could drive trading activity and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.