TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$60,644,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,341,650,213
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,108,015,025
310,788
Markets across
30,100
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,275
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
↑ 2,600
all
2 markets
Limitless
50%
Polymarket
0%
consensus
25%
spread
0-50%
(50pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Vol.
$213.4k
·
Resolves Aug 24, 2026
$
Trade on Limitless
At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/ATrade on Polymarket
At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A Low liquidityThis market tracks whether Ethereum will reach specific price thresholds between August 17 and 23, 2024 based on Binance 1-minute candle data. The current aggregated consensus shows a 50.0% probability for Ethereum hitting upward 2,600 and also a 50.0% probability for dropping below downward 1,800. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Limitless, with resolution based on Binance ETH/USDT trading pair 1-minute candle data. Watch for any price action during the August 17-23 trading window to determine the outcome.
What price will Ethereum hit August 17-23?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price expectations due to risk premiums and market sentiment. In this market, the implied probabilities reflect trader views on potential price movements over the coming weeks, which can be more aggressive or conservative than current spot pricing, depending on perceived volatility and upcoming events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user trading activity, while Limitless may reflect different liquidity conditions or trader sentiment. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, market depth or recent large trades on one venue can shift its price independently of the other. Additionally, each platform’s user base may have varying expectations about the Ethereum price range, leading to divergent odds. The gap between the two can also be influenced by platform-specific fees or listing timing, which affect how traders place their bets.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing Ethereum price during the specified window will be compared against the market’s defined ranges. As long as reliable sources confirm the final price, the market will settle automatically based on that data, ensuring a clear and transparent result for all participants.
Macroeconomic news, major exchange updates, or regulatory announcements can strongly influence this market. For instance, central bank policies, unexpected market crashes, or large institutional trades may shift trader sentiment quickly. Additionally, technical developments around Ethereum — such as network upgrades or significant adoption metrics — often cause price volatility. Whales moving large positions or shifts in trading volume on major exchanges can also create short-term swings that affect market odds.