TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$59,466,527

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,340,574,887

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,103,438,685

307,284

Markets across

29,889

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,262

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?
🌟New
Crypto
predict
polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?

Total volume:
$3,110
Volume 24h:
$2,614
426%
Liquidity:
$64,573
0.93%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

↑ 82,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

100%

Predict

32.3%

consensus

66.2%

-33.8%

spread

32.3-100%

(67.7pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

20%40%60%80%

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 24

Vol.

$1.8k

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 06d:23h:23m

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin will reach specific price thresholds between August 24-30, focusing on both upward and downward movements. Markets resolve based on Binance 1-minute candle data for BTC/USDT, checking either the high or low price against the specified thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use identical resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles determine outcomes during the exact same August 24-30 date range.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT trading pair 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve immediately when any qualifying candle occurs during the specified date range
  • Upward markets require a candle high >= specified price
  • Downward markets require a candle low <= specified price
  • All markets use the same exchange, trading pair, and candle timeframe

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Partial Date Coverage: If a market specifies August 24-30 but the exchange experiences technical difficulties during part of this window, resolution will still occur based on available data during the actual overlapping period
  • Candle Timing: All candles are evaluated in ET time, with the market period running from 12:00 AM ET on August 24 to 11:59 PM ET on August 30
Timing: Markets resolve immediately upon occurrence of any qualifying candle during the August 24-30 period, with final confirmation possible only after the period endsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?

Predict

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price market dashboard aggregates predictions across multiple venues, giving you a real-time view of collective expectations for Bitcoin’s price movement. It tracks aggregated probabilities and volume metrics from various prediction platforms, allowing you to see how the market consensus evolves. By monitoring the short_topic, users can gauge market sentiment and spot potential shifts in outlook as new information emerges, all in one centralized location.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that often diverges from short-term spot price movements. Prediction market odds reflect anticipated future conditions rather than current exchange rates, incorporating macro factors, regulatory news, and market sentiment. While spot prices may fluctuate hourly, this market trends toward longer-term projections, sometimes showing significant divergence. Comparing the two offers insight into whether traders are bullish or bearish beyond immediate market noise.

Price differences between Polymarket and Predict arise from varying user bases, liquidity levels, and market design features. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with its own trading dynamics, which can lead to distinct probability assessments. Factors such as regional participation, platform fees, and available trading tools also contribute to the spread. Monitoring both platforms provides a broader perspective on market sentiment and potential shifts in outlook.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result is determined by whether the specified price threshold is reached during the defined period, based on widely accepted market data. After verification, the market settles and all positions are closed, reflecting the actual market condition as reported by authoritative sources.

Macroeconomic announcements, regulatory updates, major technological developments, and shifts in investor sentiment can all impact this market. Events such as central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, or significant adoption news often drive volatility. Traders will also watch key market indicators and on-chain metrics, as these can signal potential price movements. Staying informed on these catalysts helps anticipate shifts in market probabilities before Sep 1, 2026.