TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$59,466,527

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,340,574,887

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,103,438,685

307,284

Markets across

29,889

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,262

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
Crypto
limitless
polymarket
opinion

What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?

Aug 17, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,539,103
Volume 24h:
$849,292
170%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$119,546N/A

↓ 62,000

all

2 markets

Limitless

25.1%

Polymarket

0%

consensus

12.5%

-50.6%

spread

0-25.1%

(25.1pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 24

Vol.

$181.5k

·

Resolves Aug 24, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?: ↓ 62,000

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% APY not meaningful
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to specific price thresholds between August 17 and 23, based on real-time Binance data. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, 'Bitcoin will dip to $62,000,' is 25.1% across Limitless, Polymarket, and Opinion, with resolution determined by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data. The probability for the second outcome, 'Bitcoin will dip to $60,000,' is 0.1%. Watch for any price action during the August 17-23 trading window, as this will determine the resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data for resolution, with consistent threshold comparison logic for both upward and downward price targets.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves 'Yes' if ANY 1-minute candle high >= specified upward threshold during August 17-23 ET
  • Market resolves 'Yes' if ANY 1-minute candle low <= specified downward threshold during August 17-23 ET
  • Market resolves 'No' if no qualifying candle occurs within the period

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact threshold hit: A candle closing exactly at the threshold counts as a trigger for both 'reach' and 'dip' markets
  • Time zone handling: All dates use Eastern Time (ET) from 12:00 AM August 17 to 11:59 PM August 23
Timing: Markets resolve immediately after the last qualifying candle closes on August 23, 2024Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?

Limitless

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Opinion

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price market dashboard aggregates predictions across multiple platforms for the Bitcoin price market, showing real-time probabilities and volume. It tracks how traders on different venues price the likelihood of various outcomes over the specified period. With a total volume of $1,539,022, the dashboard offers a consensus view that reflects collective market sentiment. By consolidating data, it helps users see where the most confidence lies and compare expectations across PredictionHero partner sites. This aggregated perspective is valuable for anyone looking to gauge market direction before Aug 24, 2026.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. In this market, traders are pricing in potential moves based on macro factors, exchange flows, and event risk over the coming week. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, odds here capture expected ranges and tail risks, sometimes implying volatility that isn’t yet priced into live markets.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result is based on widely reported price data, ensuring transparency and alignment across platforms. No single venue controls the determination — it simply reflects what is publicly observable at the specified time window.

Key signals include major macro announcements, exchange inflows or outflows, regulatory updates, and sentiment shifts from influential investors. Geopolitical events or sudden liquidity crunches can also impact this market. Traders will watch on-chain metrics, futures open interest, and media narratives closely in the days leading up to Aug 24, 2026, as any surprise can rapidly reshape probabilities.