TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:06 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Amazon (AMZN) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants, through this market, are expressing their views on Amazon’s stock price in 2026. These views are often compared to those of financial analysts, who provide forecasts based on fundamental and technical analysis. However, prediction markets benefit from the ‘wisdom of the crowd’, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and adapting more quickly to new developments than traditional analyst reports. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when considering potential outcomes.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Amazon stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, driven by the collective opinions of participants. The current implied probability of Amazon reaching a higher price point is indicated by the volume and price movement of contracts representing those levels.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the last trading day of the week of October 26, 2026, will be used to determine the winning price range. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate following this verification process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Amazon regarding earnings, new product launches, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic trends, such as changes in interest rates or overall market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the competitive landscape within the e-commerce and cloud computing industries are additional catalysts to watch. Any news impacting Amazon’s growth prospects or profitability could move this market.