TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:06 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market represents what individuals are willing to put their money on. This can lead to divergences, especially when considering the potential for strategic behavior or informed speculation. It’s important to note that polls and this market address different questions – polls ask who *will* support a candidate, while this market asks what *will* happen regarding company mentions. Examining these differences can offer a more nuanced understanding of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on a comprehensive review of Donald Trump’s public statements – including speeches, interviews, and social media posts – made throughout the month of October. Mentions will be assessed based on direct naming of the company, not just references to its products or services. The outcome will be determined by a clear and objective assessment of these public statements.
