TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The market monitors Wendy's credit card spending patterns for September 2026, assessing whether spending levels surpass certain benchmarks to reflect changes in consumer preferences and economic conditions.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Wendy's Credit Card Spend index for September 2026, with outcomes determined by whether the reported value exceeds specific thresholds (75, 78, 81, 83, 85, 87, 89, 92, or 96). The index measures year-over-year changes in spending, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below indicate decline. Resolution relies on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, with no impact from later corrections or revisions. The index is calculated using aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction data, matched to the same period of the previous year and updated daily.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations through its odds, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may publish their own projections for Wendy's spending based on financial reports, consumer trends, or economic indicators. Comparing this market’s implied probability to those forecasts can reveal whether traders are more optimistic or pessimistic about the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially released financial data covering Wendy's credit card spend for the September period, providing a clear and objective basis for settlement.