TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Wendy's Credit Card Spend in October
kalshi

How will Wendy's credit card spend perform?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$37,917
Volume 24h:
$8,168
30,921%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$18,196
7%

Above 77

 - Kalshi

Above 77 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:09h:37m

Will Wendy's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 77 ?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 36% 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 77

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$424
8%
16%
$369
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 79

Trade
93%
Yes 98¢No 18¢
16¢
N/A
$2,635
0%
16%
$1,742
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 81

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 91¢No 24¢
15¢
N/A
$15,798
51%
529%
$6,913
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 83

Trade
57%
Yes 72¢No 45¢
17¢
N/A
$1,354
4%
79%
$784
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 85

Trade
15%
8%
Yes 49¢No 84¢
33¢
N/A
$2,312
5%
9%
$1,389
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 89

Trade
7%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$118
0%
0%
$96
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 88

Trade
6%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,904
0%
2%
$840
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 86

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 16¢No 94¢
10¢
N/A
$3,299
73%
204%
$2,277
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 87

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$1,867
191%
297%
$1,359
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 91

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$6,206
0%
337%
$2,427
1w 4d 9h
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets track Wendy's credit card spending performance for October 2026, measured against specific year-over-year growth thresholds. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds set benchmarks, reflecting consumer behavior trends through aggregated card transaction data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Wendy's Credit Card Spend index for October 2026, comparing it to successive year-over-year growth thresholds. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 83, above 85, etc.), and if the finalized index value for October 2026 exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The index measures U.S. credit and debit card transaction volumes for Wendy's, normalized to the same month in the prior year, where 100 indicates equal spending to the previous year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Final values are recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day following the end of the relevant month. All markets share identical secondary resolution procedures and data sources, with no official affiliation between Kalshi and Wendy's or Carbon Arc.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wendy's credit card spend market tracks the current odds of whether October 2026's credit card spend will exceed a specific threshold. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has valued this possibility over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $8,113. The total volume traded on this market is $37,917. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and activity related to future Wendy's financial performance.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts for Wendy's credit card spending. While financial analysts regularly publish predictions about company revenue and performance, these are often broad estimates and may not focus specifically on credit card spend for a single month. This market offers a more focused, quantifiable prediction, allowing traders to express their beliefs about a specific metric. It will be interesting to see if the market’s collective wisdom aligns with or diverges from expert opinions as Nov 14, 2026 approaches.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual total credit card spend at Wendy's restaurants during the month of October 2026. The specific data source used for verification will be determined by Kalshi and will be a publicly available and reliable source of financial information. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final reported spend.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Major economic indicators, such as consumer spending reports and overall economic growth forecasts, could shift sentiment. News related to Wendy's marketing campaigns, menu changes, or expansion plans could also have an impact. Unexpected events, like shifts in consumer preferences or disruptions to the supply chain, could also move the market. Finally, any significant news regarding Wendy's financial health or competitive landscape will likely be reflected in the price of contracts in this market.