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413,109
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
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63%
Who will win the Vermont Governor election?
Phil Scott (R)
- Predict
Phil Scott (R) - Predict
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:02h:11m
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
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Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Predict
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. Polling data captures a snapshot of stated preferences, while this market aggregates informed speculation about likely outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like strategic voting, voter turnout assumptions, and the inclusion of information not readily available in polls. If polls consistently show a significant lead for one candidate, but this market indicates a closer race, it suggests traders believe factors beyond stated preferences will play a crucial role in determining the result of the Vermont Governor election.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the Vermont Secretary of State’s office. This includes a determination of which candidate has received the most votes in the Vermont Governor election. The market will settle to 100% for the winning candidate and 0% for all others. Traders should monitor news sources for official announcements regarding the election results as this will trigger the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant shifts in fundraising numbers, and unexpected developments in the candidates’ campaigns could all impact trader sentiment. Debates and public appearances also present opportunities for candidates to sway public opinion and, consequently, market prices. Polling data releases, while not always directly correlated, can also influence trading activity. Any unforeseen events, such as scandals or major policy announcements, could also trigger substantial movement in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026.
