TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:03h:29m
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These markets track potential growth in Velo Point of Sale for October 2026, using a statistical index comparing spending to the same month last year. The index aggregates data from both in-store and online transactions, providing a snapshot of consumer behavior and market trends for that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Velo Point of Sale Growth index for October 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold to settle as 'Yes.' The index measures year-over-year change, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending compared to the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination occurs on the finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day following the end of October 2026. The index is derived from a point-of-sale receipt panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period from the previous year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective prediction from a diverse group of traders. These predictions are often compared to those of financial analysts covering the payments industry. If analysts widely expect strong growth for Velo’s POS system, we might see the odds for a positive outcome increase. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, the odds may lean towards a more conservative result. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast than traditional polls or analyst reports, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the specified growth target is met. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations regarding Velo’s performance.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official reported growth figures for Velo’s point-of-sale system in October. Any publicly available data from Velo or a trusted financial news source will be used to determine the final result. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual reported growth, allowing for a clear and objective assessment of the market’s accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Major announcements from Velo regarding new partnerships, significant contract wins, or changes in their POS system’s adoption rate would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic indicators, such as consumer spending data or reports on the retail sector, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to competitors in the POS market or regulatory changes affecting the payments industry could also shift trader sentiment and move the odds in this market.