TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Politics
Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

Volume:
$21,867

Patrick Paquet

 - Polymarket

Patrick Paquet - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 7:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Patrick Paquet

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stéphanie Martin

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Hudon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Q

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person T

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person U

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Vanier-Les Rivières seat race tracks real-time odds and price movements for this market on Polymarket. It shows how traders value the chances of each candidate winning, along with historical trends and $1,745 24-hour volume. This gives you a live view of market sentiment as the election approaches, helping you spot shifts in trader confidence before the final vote.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of valid votes will determine the winner, and the market settles based on officially recognized results from the Quebec National Assembly.

Between now and Oct 5, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key events include debates, major policy announcements, endorsement changes, and local voting trends. Media coverage and polling updates will also influence trader sentiment. Any surprise developments — such as candidate health issues or campaign scandals — may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the odds.