TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether the USDSEK exchange rate will exceed specific thresholds at a set time, reflecting potential shifts in currency valuation influenced by economic policies, trade dynamics, and global financial conditions.
All markets resolve based on the USDSEK exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on October 30, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate is above the specified level at that time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time are disregarded. Values are rounded to four decimal places unless otherwise stated. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used for resolution.
Currently, it’s important to note that analyst forecasts for the USDSEK exchange rate vary considerably. Some predict a strengthening Swedish Krona, while others anticipate continued dollar dominance. This market provides a unique perspective, aggregating the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi. Comparing the implied probabilities within this market to the range of analyst expectations can reveal whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than conventional financial experts regarding the USDSEK exchange rate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the USDSEK exchange rate on Oct 30, 2026. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential movement of the USDSEK exchange rate, driven by informed speculation.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the USDSEK exchange rate is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the mid-price of the USDSEK exchange rate at 5:00 PM EDT on October 30th, as reported by a recognized financial data provider. Traders holding contracts predicting the rate will be above a certain level will be paid out if the rate exceeds that level, and vice versa, based on the contract’s terms.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major economic data releases from the United States and Sweden, such as inflation reports, employment figures, and GDP growth rates, will likely impact the USDSEK exchange rate. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in global risk sentiment could also drive currency fluctuations. Furthermore, any announcements from the Federal Reserve or the Riksbank regarding monetary policy could cause substantial movement in this market as traders react to changing interest rate expectations.