TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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USDMXN price on Oct 30 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

What will the USDMXN price be on Oct 30?

Volume:
$0

Above 18.599

 - Kalshi

Above 18.599 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 18.599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.601

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.603

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.605

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.607

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.609

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.611

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.613

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.615

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.617

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.619

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.621

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.623

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.625

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.627

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.629

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.631

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.633

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.635

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.637

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

These markets track whether the USD to Mexican Peso exchange rate will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment. The outcome depends on the official exchange rate snapshot taken at the close of trading on a particular date and time, reflecting currency market conditions at that instant.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDMXN exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on October 30, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate exceeds its respective threshold at that exact time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. The resolution uses the most recent available data from Pyth if no value is published at exactly 5pm ET. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate are disregarded. All rates are rounded to four decimal places for resolution purposes. The consistent methodology ensures that each market's outcome is determined solely by the snapshotted rate against its predefined threshold, without influence from subsequent changes or missing data beyond the specified fallback procedure.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of different price levels for the USDMXN exchange rate. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how expectations have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities related to the USDMXN exchange rate.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential black swan events. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly when significant uncertainty surrounds the USDMXN exchange rate. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market expectations and potential risks.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the USDMXN exchange rate is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the mid-price of the USDMXN exchange rate at 5:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized financial data provider. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual exchange rate at the specified time.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected shifts in monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve or Banco de México would likely cause volatility. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures from either country, could also move the market. Geopolitical events, shifts in global risk sentiment, and even significant changes in oil prices—given Mexico’s role as a major oil producer—are all potential catalysts that could influence the USDMXN exchange rate and, consequently, this market.