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USDBRL price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

What will USDBRL be on Oct 16?

Volume:
$129

Above 4.967

 - Kalshi

Above 4.967 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.967

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.969

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.971

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.973

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.975

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.977

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.979

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.981

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.983

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.985

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.987

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.989

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.991

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.993

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.995

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.997

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.001

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.003

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.005

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the USDBRL exchange rate at a specific future date and time. Each market evaluates whether the rate exceeds a particular threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of currency strength or weakness.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the opening candlestick value of the USDBRL exchange rate published by Pyth at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. For each market, if the rate at that exact time is above the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The resolution uses the most recent available data from Pyth if no value is published at the exact time, and revisions to the underlying data after the expiration time are disregarded. All values are rounded to four decimal places for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the USDBRL exchange rate tracks the current implied probability of the exchange rate being above 4.967 at 5:00 PM EDT on October 16th. You can view the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume directly on the page. Currently, the total volume for this market is $129, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential movement of the USDBRL exchange rate leading up to the specified time.

Currently, it's important to note that analysts' forecasts for the USDBRL exchange rate vary, but generally, predictions center around a range of potential values. This market allows traders to express their own views on where the exchange rate will be, potentially differing from the consensus of traditional financial analysts. The collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi may offer a unique perspective compared to standard economic projections, reflecting real-time sentiment and incorporating a wider range of information than a single analyst report might.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the USDBRL exchange rate will be above 4.967 at the specified time. The price of these contracts reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, with more buyers increasing the price and more sellers decreasing it. This creates a market-driven forecast of the exchange rate, influenced by a diverse group of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final USDBRL exchange rate at 5:00 PM EDT on October 16th will be used to determine whether the rate was above 4.967. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for the exchange rate at that precise time, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the USDBRL exchange rate and, consequently, this market. Major economic data releases from both the United States and Brazil, such as inflation reports, GDP figures, and employment numbers, are likely to cause volatility. Unexpected political developments in either country, including policy changes or shifts in government leadership, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, global risk sentiment and fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly oil, may contribute to movements in this market.