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US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?
polymarket

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?

Volume:
$10

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?

 - Polymarket

US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19? - Polymarket

1W

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·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 9:26 PM EST

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US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including October 19, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on October 19, 2026, or if October 19, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including October 19, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on October 19, 2026, or if October 19, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FKRW. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of the USD/KRW exchange rate increasing or decreasing by October 19. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded – currently $10 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $10. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the direction of the exchange rate. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are forecasting this financial event.

Currently, the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users, as reflected in this market, offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts provide directional opinions on currency movements, this market aggregates a diverse range of viewpoints into a quantifiable probability. It’s important to note that prediction market outcomes are driven by traders directly incentivized to be accurate, potentially offering a different signal than polls or expert opinions. This provides an alternative data point for those following the USD/KRW exchange rate.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the USD/KRW exchange rate will be up or down on October 19. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential movement of the exchange rate. The current volume traded is $10, indicating the level of interest in this particular forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official closing exchange rate for the USD/KRW pair on October 19, as reported by a widely recognized financial data provider. The market will determine whether the rate is higher or lower than its value at the market’s creation, and shares will pay out accordingly. Traders should monitor reliable financial news sources as the resolution date approaches to understand the final exchange rate.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major economic data releases from both the United States and South Korea, such as inflation reports, GDP figures, or employment numbers, could trigger shifts in the USD/KRW exchange rate. Geopolitical events, including any unexpected developments in international trade relations or regional tensions, could also play a role. Furthermore, interventions by central banks in either country, or significant shifts in global risk sentiment, are likely to impact the market’s direction.