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US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2?
polymarket

US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2?

Oct 30, 2026, 8:01 AM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$5
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$1,896
1,895,596%
Open interest:
$5N/A

US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2?

 - Polymarket

US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2? - Polymarket

1W

News

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Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
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7d
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polymarket

US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on November 2?

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$1,896
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including November 2, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on November 2, 2026, or if November 2, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FNOK. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including November 2, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on November 2, 2026, or if November 2, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FNOK. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of the USD/NOK exchange rate increasing or decreasing by November 2. You’ll find a continuously updating view of the odds, reflecting the collective predictions of traders. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5, and the total market volume, which is $5. This allows you to gauge market interest and how quickly opinions are shifting regarding the future direction of the exchange rate.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the USD/NOK exchange rate. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing the probability of a directional move. It's important to note that analysts’ predictions are based on economic models and fundamental analysis, while this market reflects real-money sentiment and incorporates a wider range of information, including potentially unforeseen events. This provides a valuable alternative data point when assessing potential exchange rate movements.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the USD/NOK exchange rate will be up or down on Nov 2, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased representing a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official closing exchange rate for the USD/NOK pair on that date. If the exchange rate is higher than its value at the market's opening, the 'Up' outcome will prevail; otherwise, the 'Down' outcome will be considered the result. The final determination will rely on data from established financial sources and will be publicly available for review.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major economic data releases from both the United States and Norway, such as inflation reports, GDP figures, and employment numbers, are key catalysts. Unexpected shifts in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve or Norges Bank would also likely cause substantial movement. Geopolitical events, fluctuations in oil prices (given Norway's significant oil exports), and even shifts in global risk sentiment could all impact the USD/NOK exchange rate and, consequently, the trading activity in this market.