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413,109

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Science and Technology
Uber Ride App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be Uber's ride app download growth in September?

Volume:
$85,774

Above 97

 - Kalshi

Above 97 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,830
N/A
N/A
$5,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,392
N/A
N/A
$5,392
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,140
N/A
N/A
$2,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 91

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,225
N/A
N/A
$2,225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 93

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,465
N/A
N/A
$1,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,968
N/A
N/A
$6,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,153
N/A
N/A
$8,103
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,579
N/A
N/A
$5,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,865
N/A
N/A
$4,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,939
N/A
N/A
$3,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,025
N/A
N/A
$2,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,192
N/A
N/A
$2,192
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks whether Uber's ride app download figures for September 2026 exceed specific growth thresholds compared to the same month in the previous year. The thresholds represent varying degrees of year-over-year growth, with higher numbers indicating stronger performance. The outcome depends on the first reported data from Carbon Arc for that period.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc Uber Ride App Downloads index for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index uses a base of 100 to represent equal year-over-year downloads, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 97, above 99, etc.), and if the reported index value exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after market settlement do not affect the outcome. All markets are independent, with each evaluating a different numerical threshold for the same underlying data point. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Uber or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price movements for the Uber app download market, along with 24-hour volume of $19,274. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the September period, reflecting expectations for user behavior and market conditions influencing app downloads. The page updates in real time to display the top outcome and recent trading activity, giving users a clear view of market sentiment without needing to visit multiple sources.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate broader economic trends and company performance metrics, traders on Kalshi react quickly to news, app store rankings, and promotional events. This can lead to divergence, especially around key product launches or regulatory announcements that affect user behavior in the short term.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official app store download statistics and other authoritative sources that provide a clear, auditable count for the September period. Traders should monitor announcements and data releases leading up to that date, as they will affect the final settlement.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major promotional campaigns, seasonal travel trends, or changes in Uber’s pricing or features may drive download spikes. Conversely, technical issues, competitor updates, or macroeconomic factors affecting discretionary spending could suppress app usage. Additionally, news about regulatory actions or partnershipsannounced near term may also influence trader sentiment and shift probabilities on Kalshi.