TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Uber Eats app downloads for a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to the prior year, with higher values showing increased adoption. Outcomes depend on whether the reported figure exceeds certain thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Uber Eats app downloads in September 2026, each with a specific numerical target. For any given market, the outcome is determined by whether the Carbon Arc reported index value for September 2026 exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 126, 130, 132, etc.). The resolution relies solely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. All markets share this uniform determination process, with each market’s 'Yes' outcome contingent upon its unique threshold being surpassed. The index measures year-over-year performance, where 100 represents parity with the prior year, values above 100 denote growth, and values below indicate decline. Kalshi clarifies no official affiliation with Uber or its brands, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially reported app download statistics for September, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with observable public data.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major marketing campaigns by Uber Eats, changes in consumer spending patterns due to economic announcements, competitive moves from rival food delivery services, and seasonal usage trends. Any surprise data releases — such as weekly download reports or platform-specific performance updates — may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.