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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Uber Eats App Downloads in October
kalshi

How will Uber Eats downloads perform in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$98,710
Volume 24h:
$27,156
434%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$26,046
11%

Above 85

 - Kalshi

Above 85 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:00h:48m

Will Uber Eats App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 36% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 85

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$5,605
25%
52%
$2,786
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 105

Trade
98%
2%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$24,021
55%
663%
$8,689
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 107

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$6,470
187%
N/A
$1,970
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 110

Trade
5%
37%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$5,869
60%
206%
$3,302
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 135

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$7,728
114%
183%
$916
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 115

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$21,430
22%
92%
$3,588
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 125

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$16,396
4%
209%
$2,847
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 120

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$8,371
8%
70%
$940
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 180

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$2,622
248%
253%
$860
1w 5d
Active
kalshi

Above 130

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$199
0.51%
33%
$149
1w 5d
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks projected year-over-year growth in Uber Eats app downloads for October 2026, using a standardized index where 100 represents equal performance to the same month in the previous year. Higher index values reflect stronger growth compared to the prior year, with various thresholds defining different levels of success.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Uber Eats App Downloads index for October 2026, measured as year-over-year change relative to October 2025. The index value of 100 indicates identical performance to the prior year, with values above 100 signifying growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 85, 115, 120, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the finalized index value exceeds its respective threshold. Determination occurs at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day following the end of October 2026. The index is independently calculated and verified by Carbon Arc, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Uber or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Uber Eats downloads market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different download outcomes is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $98,710. The 24-hour volume is $27,156, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various results for Uber Eats app downloads in October.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of Uber Eats downloads that may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often rely on historical data and company reports, this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies arise due to differing methodologies and the ability of the market to quickly adjust to new information. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market expectations and potential surprises regarding the number of Uber Eats app downloads.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of Uber Eats app downloads in October. Prices are determined by supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract reflects the market's consensus view, constantly updated as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of Uber Eats app downloads in October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final download numbers will be sourced from publicly available data, and the market will settle based on which outcome range the actual number falls into. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual performance of Uber Eats app downloads during the specified period.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major marketing campaigns launched by Uber Eats, competitor actions (such as promotions from DoorDash or Grubhub), and broader economic trends affecting consumer spending could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding app store policies or regulatory changes could also play a role. Additionally, any reports or data releases related to food delivery trends or Uber Eats' market share could cause shifts in the odds as traders react to the latest information.