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Twitter App Downloads in August
kalshi

What will Twitter's app downloads be in August?

Volume:
$2,441

Above 94

 - Kalshi

Above 94 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 94

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 95

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The market evaluates year-over-year changes in Twitter app downloads for August 2026 compared to August 2025. Resolution depends on whether download levels exceed specific thresholds, using Carbon Arc's first reported value for the month as the determining factor.

Kalshi

If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 94 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 96 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 97 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 98 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Twitter app downloads. Where analysts may incorporate longer-term trends or qualitative factors, traders in this market react quickly to news, app store rankings, and usage spikes. The gap between the two can widen when breaking events occur, making this market a live barometer of short-term sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will match official app store download statistics for August, closing the market and settling all positions based on the actual results.

Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, changes to Twitter’s pricing or feature set, viral social media trends, or technical issues affecting app availability. Competitor activity, seasonal usage patterns, and any media coverage highlighting platform engagement may also cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their expectations for August downloads.