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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$667,365

Below 38.1%

 - Kalshi

Below 38.1% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below 38.1%

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,585
N/A
N/A
$49,208
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 38.7%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,656
N/A
N/A
$65,419
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,255
N/A
N/A
$48,290
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,729
N/A
N/A
$34,321
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,201
N/A
N/A
$35,138
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,301
N/A
N/A
$22,000
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,761
N/A
N/A
$30,225
Settled
No
kalshi

38.4%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,878
N/A
N/A
$22,388
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,998
N/A
N/A
$24,429
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends entirely on where that average falls relative to predefined thresholds at the exact moment of measurement.

Kalshi

The event resolves based solely on the 'Approve' value listed in the 'RCP Average' row of the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval' at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 9, 2026. If the value is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or strictly above 38.7%, the market resolves to Yes for the corresponding outcome categories. All resolution criteria derive exclusively from this single data point at the specified timestamp, with no alternative sources or adjustments permitted.