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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$359,080

38.3%

 - Kalshi

38.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.3%

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,520
N/A
N/A
$26,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.4%

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,741
N/A
N/A
$24,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.2%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,983
N/A
N/A
$27,454
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.8%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,907
N/A
N/A
$22,683
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,034
N/A
N/A
$22,768
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,125
N/A
N/A
$22,885
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,980
N/A
N/A
$16,751
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,663
N/A
N/A
$16,497
Settled
No
kalshi

38.8%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,129
N/A
N/A
$10,591
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded at a set time, with various thresholds determining success. It reflects how political sentiment might shift over the coming years.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RCP approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 8, 2026. The market has nine distinct outcomes, each corresponding to a specific approval percentage range or exact value. If the approval average is below 38.2%, exactly 38.2% through 38.8%, or above 38.8%, the respective market will resolve to Yes. The sole source for determining the approval average is the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' All rules share this secondary resolution source, ensuring consistency across all possible outcomes.