TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date and time. The outcome depends entirely on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range at that moment, using a single authoritative source for verification.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage at exactly 1:00 PM Eastern Time on October 7, 2026. The RCP Average value listed under the "Approve" column in the "President Trump Job Approval" table will serve as the exclusive, binding reference for all resolution determinations. Nine distinct numerical thresholds define resolution outcomes: if the average is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly. No other data sources, interpretations, or adjustments are permitted in the resolution process.
