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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$613,061

38.5%

 - Kalshi

38.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.5%

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,477
N/A
N/A
$29,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,517
N/A
N/A
$35,691
Settled
No
kalshi

38.4%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,596
N/A
N/A
$39,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.6%

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,924
N/A
N/A
$31,725
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.0%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,671
N/A
N/A
$32,990
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,003
N/A
N/A
$35,530
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,805
N/A
N/A
$30,411
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,775
N/A
N/A
$35,685
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,292
N/A
N/A
$31,374
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a defined threshold. The resolution is based solely on an official polling table published at the specified moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 6, 2026. The market has multiple outcome categories covering a precise numerical range of possible approval values. If the RCP average is below 38.0%, exactly 38.0% through 38.6%, or above 38.6%, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The sole source for determining the approval average is the 'Approve' column value in the 'RCP Average' row of the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' All outcomes share the same resolution time and data source, ensuring consistency across the event.