TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in a designated poll aggregation source at the exact moment of evaluation. It reflects a snapshot of public opinion under defined conditions.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the exact value of President Trump’s RCP approval average at precisely 1:00 PM ET on October 5, 2026. The sole source for determining the approval percentage is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." If the recorded value is below 37.9%, exactly 37.9%, exactly 38.0%, exactly 38.1%, exactly 38.2%, exactly 38.3%, exactly 38.4%, exactly 38.5%, or above 38.5%, the respective market will resolve to Yes. Each potential percentage range or exact value is evaluated against this single data point to determine the final outcome.
