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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$227,145

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,231
N/A
N/A
$13,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,676
N/A
N/A
$41,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.6%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,331
N/A
N/A
$24,100
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,431
N/A
N/A
$28,753
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,393
N/A
N/A
$15,205
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,133
N/A
N/A
$16,062
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,539
N/A
N/A
$2,908
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,450
N/A
N/A
$1,118
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event monitors President Trump’s approval rating as measured by the RCP average on October 31, 2026. The outcome is determined by a single polling aggregate value at a specific time, indicating public sentiment toward Trump’s job performance at that moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.0%, exactly 38.0%, 38.1%, 38.2%, 38.3%, 38.4%, 38.5%, 38.6%, or above 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026. The resolution is based exclusively on the "Approve" column value of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" at the specified time, with multiple precise approval percentage thresholds defined for resolution.