TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date and time. The outcome depends solely on whether the reported approval percentage matches one of several predefined thresholds. It reflects public opinion at a precise moment, offering insight into political sentiment.
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." Each numerical threshold—from below 38.1% up to above 38.7%—defines a distinct resolution condition, ensuring a clear and definitive outcome based on the precise value reported at the specified time.