TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Politics
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 30, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 30, 2026?

Volume:
$363,700

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,763
N/A
N/A
$15,837
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.3%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,289
N/A
N/A
$39,812
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,201
N/A
N/A
$23,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.7%

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,060
N/A
N/A
$30,803
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,274
N/A
N/A
$28,911
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,488
N/A
N/A
$11,691
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.1%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,315
N/A
N/A
$8,761
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,991
N/A
N/A
$8,249
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,319
N/A
N/A
$4,205
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date and time. The outcome depends solely on whether the reported approval percentage matches one of several predefined thresholds. It reflects public opinion at a precise moment, offering insight into political sentiment.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." Each numerical threshold—from below 38.1% up to above 38.7%—defines a distinct resolution condition, ensuring a clear and definitive outcome based on the precise value reported at the specified time.