TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 29, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 29, 2026?

Volume:
$108,128

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,956
N/A
N/A
$9,942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,071
N/A
N/A
$9,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,190
N/A
N/A
$14,122
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,418
N/A
N/A
$9,717
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.7%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,006
N/A
N/A
$9,333
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,720
N/A
N/A
$7,170
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,765
N/A
N/A
$5,646
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,361
N/A
N/A
$4,927
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,641
N/A
N/A
$4,325
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range at a precise moment. It reflects how political sentiment might shift over time under various influences.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 29, 2026. The RCP Average value listed in the "Approve" column of the "President Trump Job Approval" table serves as the exclusive data source. If the approval average is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%, the market resolves to Yes for the corresponding outcome. Each potential percentage value or range is evaluated against this single data point to determine the final result.