TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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All
Politics
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 28, 2026?

Volume:
$234,452

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,536
N/A
N/A
$18,079
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 38.7%

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,143
N/A
N/A
$20,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.1%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,867
N/A
N/A
$20,768
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,446
N/A
N/A
$14,669
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,821
N/A
N/A
$15,428
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,358
N/A
N/A
$11,451
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,942
N/A
N/A
$12,684
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,906
N/A
N/A
$10,761
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,434
N/A
N/A
$5,639
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range at a precise moment. It reflects how political sentiment might shift over the coming years.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 28, 2026. The RCP Average value from the "President Trump Job Approval" table will determine the result. If the approval average is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%, the respective market will resolve to Yes. All outcomes rely solely on the "Approve" column value of the RCP Average row for final determination.