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404,136

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40,075

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4,369

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?

Volume:
$479,883

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,721
N/A
N/A
$24,323
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 38.2%

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,134
N/A
N/A
$27,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.8%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,504
N/A
N/A
$29,266
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,767
N/A
N/A
$23,467
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,430
N/A
N/A
$24,449
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,510
N/A
N/A
$24,150
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,376
N/A
N/A
$23,746
Settled
No
kalshi

38.8%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,053
N/A
N/A
$24,238
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,388
N/A
N/A
$21,053
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. The resolution is based solely on the official RCP data published at a set time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 27, 2026. The market has multiple outcome categories covering a precise range of possible approval values: below 38.2%, exactly 38.2% through 38.8%, and above 38.8%. All outcomes rely exclusively on the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval'. No other data sources or calculations are permitted for resolution, ensuring transparency and consistency in determining the result.