TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. The resolution hinges on an authoritative polling aggregation published at a set time and date.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) average job approval percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 26, 2026. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column value in the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." If the approval average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5%, exactly 38.6%, exactly 38.7%, exactly 38.8%, exactly 38.9%, exactly 39.0%, exactly 39.1%, or above 39.1%, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Any value within these defined categories determines the respective outcome, with precise numerical matches or range positions dictating which specific market settles as the final result.
