TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks public sentiment toward a political figure by measuring their approval rating at a specific future date and time. The outcome depends on whether the reported average approval percentage meets certain precise thresholds. The data source for determining the result is a specific, publicly available poll average table.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM ET on October 25, 2026. The sole resolution source is the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct primary rules define the market outcome: if the average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5%, exactly 38.6%, exactly 38.7%, exactly 38.8%, exactly 38.9%, exactly 39.0%, exactly 39.1%, or above 39.1%, the market resolves to 'Yes' for the corresponding outcome. Each rule applies to a narrow numerical range or exact value, ensuring a definitive resolution based on the precise figure reported at the specified time and source.
