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420,493

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026?

Volume:
$465,931

38.8%

 - Kalshi

38.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.8%

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,867
N/A
N/A
$40,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,055
N/A
N/A
$54,789
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,266
N/A
N/A
$33,287
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.4%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,764
N/A
N/A
$35,728
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,183
N/A
N/A
$32,193
Settled
No
kalshi

38.4%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,461
N/A
N/A
$24,103
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,418
N/A
N/A
$19,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.0%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,958
N/A
N/A
$16,191
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,960
N/A
N/A
$12,138
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range of values or exceeds a defined threshold. The resolution is based solely on an official polling source at the specified moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 24, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.4%, exactly 38.4% through 39.0%, or above 39.0%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the 'Approve' column value in the 'RCP Average' row of the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Each potential outcome—ranging from below 38.4% to above 39.0%—is explicitly defined, ensuring a clear and definitive resolution based on the precise numerical value captured at the specified time and source.