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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 22, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 22, 2026?

Volume:
$288,000

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,650
N/A
N/A
$26,232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,551
N/A
N/A
$20,428
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.5%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,658
N/A
N/A
$19,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 37.9%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,128
N/A
N/A
$23,233
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,709
N/A
N/A
$11,885
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,109
N/A
N/A
$12,007
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,929
N/A
N/A
$12,138
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,987
N/A
N/A
$10,161
Settled
No
kalshi

37.9%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,280
N/A
N/A
$5,853
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average at a precise future date and time. The outcome depends entirely on whether the reported approval percentage matches one of several defined thresholds. All possible outcomes are pre-specified, leaving no ambiguity about resolution criteria.

Kalshi

The event resolves based solely on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM Eastern Time on October 22, 2026. The RCP Average value listed under the "Approve" column in the "President Trump Job Approval" table will serve as the definitive data source. Nine distinct numerical thresholds determine resolution: below 37.9%, exactly 37.9%, exactly 38.0% through exactly 38.5% (inclusive), and above 38.5%. Any occurrence of the measured approval average matching one of these specific values will trigger a "Yes" resolution for the corresponding market outcome, with no other considerations or external data permitted to affect the result.