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2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$492,746

Below 38.6%

 - Kalshi

Below 38.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below 38.6%

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122,325
N/A
N/A
$65,192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,674
N/A
N/A
$98,454
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,573
N/A
N/A
$25,573
Settled
No
kalshi

38.8%

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,630
N/A
N/A
$23,093
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,398
N/A
N/A
$26,402
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,931
N/A
N/A
$14,154
Settled
No
kalshi

39.2%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,312
N/A
N/A
$17,308
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,118
N/A
N/A
$16,202
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,785
N/A
N/A
$15,632
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in a designated poll tracking website at the exact moment specified. It reflects a snapshot of public opinion at a critical future point in time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM Eastern Time on October 21, 2026. The sole source of truth is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval' on the RCP website. Nine distinct percentage thresholds determine the resolution: below 38.6%, exactly 38.6% through 39.2%, and above 39.2%. Any value falling within these defined ranges or exact figures triggers a 'Yes' resolution for the corresponding market outcome. No other data sources, interpretations, or approximations are considered — only the single numerical value captured at the specified instant governs the result.