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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$706,420

38.8%

 - Kalshi

38.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.8%

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,161
N/A
N/A
$39,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.2%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,754
N/A
N/A
$39,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.6%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,824
N/A
N/A
$42,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.2%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,658
N/A
N/A
$22,614
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,855
N/A
N/A
$38,582
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,238
N/A
N/A
$20,911
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,709
N/A
N/A
$31,602
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,718
N/A
N/A
$23,447
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,503
N/A
N/A
$20,014
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date and time. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a set threshold. The resolution is based solely on an official polling table published at the specified moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 20, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.6%, exactly matches any value from 38.6% through 39.2%, or exceeds 39.2%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" published at the specified time. No other data sources or interpretations are considered in resolving the event.