TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. The resolution is based solely on the official RCP data published at a set time.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RCP approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 19, 2026. Multiple precise percentage thresholds define the outcome: if the average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5% through 39.1%, or above 39.1%, the market resolves accordingly. All outcomes rely exclusively on the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval'. No other data sources or interpretations are considered, ensuring a clear, objective resolution based on the published figure at the specified time.
