TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. The resolution is based solely on the official RCP data published at a set time.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 18, 2026. If the approval average is below 38.4%, exactly 38.4% through 39.0%, or above 39.0%, the market resolves to Yes. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." Each numerical threshold—from below 38.4% up to and including above 39.0%—has a corresponding Yes outcome, with no No outcomes defined, implying that any value falling outside these specified conditions would result in a No outcome by default.
