TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or meets specific exact values at a precise moment. It reflects how political sentiment might shift over time based on events and performance.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval rating at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. The RCP Average value listed in the "Approve" column of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" serves as the exclusive data source. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5% through 39.1%, or above 39.1%. No other data sources or interpretations are considered, ensuring a clear, objective standard for determination.
