TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a particular numerical range at a precise moment. The resolution hinges on an independently verified polling aggregation.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) average job approval percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. The sole source of truth is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct outcomes cover every possible approval percentage scenario: below 38.8%, exactly 38.8%, exactly 38.9%, exactly 39.0%, exactly 39.1%, exactly 39.2%, exactly 39.3%, exactly 39.4%, or above 39.4%. Each numerical boundary or range corresponds to a unique resolution state, ensuring a definitive market outcome regardless of where the measured value falls.
