TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$263,267

Above 38.4%

 - Kalshi

Above 38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 38.4%

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,582
N/A
N/A
$48,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 37.8%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,337
N/A
N/A
$33,746
Settled
No
kalshi

38.4%

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,943
N/A
N/A
$29,635
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,430
N/A
N/A
$25,935
Settled
No
kalshi

37.8%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,938
N/A
N/A
$10,847
Settled
No
kalshi

37.9%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,057
N/A
N/A
$8,386
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,040
N/A
N/A
$4,819
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,552
N/A
N/A
$5,584
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,389
N/A
N/A
$2,929
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in a designated poll aggregation source at the exact moment of resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact value of President Trump's RCP approval average at precisely 1:00 PM ET on October 14, 2026, drawn from the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct percentage thresholds determine the resolution: below 37.8%, exactly 37.8%, exactly 37.9%, exactly 38.0%, exactly 38.1%, exactly 38.2%, exactly 38.3%, exactly 38.4%, or above 38.4%. Whichever threshold the recorded value meets determines whether the market resolves as 'Yes.' No other data sources or interpretations are considered for resolution.