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407,365

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4,365

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?

Volume:
$464,407

38.4%

 - Kalshi

38.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.4%

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,727
N/A
N/A
$31,028
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 38.4%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,170
N/A
N/A
$35,627
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,865
N/A
N/A
$31,836
Settled
No
kalshi

38.2%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,011
N/A
N/A
$33,673
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 37.8%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,100
N/A
N/A
$29,747
Settled
No
kalshi

38.3%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,899
N/A
N/A
$25,358
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,542
N/A
N/A
$20,836
Settled
No
kalshi

37.9%

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,945
N/A
N/A
$20,616
Settled
No
kalshi

37.8%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,147
N/A
N/A
$23,592
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a defined range at the exact moment of measurement. The resolution uses a single, authoritative polling source for verification.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 13, 2026. The market settles to Yes if the approval percentage matches any of the specified values: below 37.8%, exactly 37.8%, 37.9%, 38.0%, 38.1%, 38.2%, 38.3%, 38.4%, or above 38.4%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column under the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." All outcomes hinge on this single data point captured at the precise timestamp, with no additional calculations or interpretations applied.