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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$419,009

37.8%

 - Kalshi

37.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

37.8%

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,834
N/A
N/A
$19,732
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 37.5%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,452
N/A
N/A
$28,455
Settled
No
kalshi

37.7%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,197
N/A
N/A
$28,201
Settled
No
kalshi

37.9%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,426
N/A
N/A
$29,495
Settled
No
kalshi

37.5%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,216
N/A
N/A
$27,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 38.1%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,909
N/A
N/A
$31,533
Settled
No
kalshi

37.6%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,050
N/A
N/A
$24,328
Settled
No
kalshi

38.0%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,145
N/A
N/A
$23,153
Settled
No
kalshi

38.1%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,781
N/A
N/A
$17,209
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded at a set time, with various thresholds defining success or failure for the prediction.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM ET on October 11, 2026, drawn from the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table. Nine distinct outcomes cover every possible approval value: one outcome triggers if the average is below 37.5%, eight outcomes each correspond to exact percentage values from 37.5% through 38.1%, and the final outcome applies if the average exceeds 38.1%. All markets share the same data source and resolution time, with no ambiguity allowed for fractional or rounding differences—the recorded value determines the result singularly.