TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. It reflects public opinion polling aggregation at a precise moment in time.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on October 10, 2026. The RCP Average value from the "President Trump Job Approval" table — specifically the "Approve" column under the "RCP Average" row — serves as the sole determinant. Nine distinct outcomes cover all possible percentage values: one outcome for values below 37.3%, eight outcomes for exact percentages from 37.3% through 37.9%, and one outcome for values above 37.9%. No other data sources or calculations influence the resolution.
