TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Description
This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date. The outcome depends on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range at a precise moment, using a recognized polling aggregation as the sole data source.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on the "Approve" column value from the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 2, 2026. If the value is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5% through 39.1%, or above 39.1%, the respective corresponding market will resolve to Yes. All outcomes share the same data source and timestamp requirement, with no alternative measurement or adjustment permitted.
