TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks public sentiment toward a political figure by measuring their approval rating at a specific future date and time. The outcome depends on whether the reported average approval percentage meets certain precise thresholds. The resolution is based on an independently verified polling average.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the Republican Committee Poll (RCP) average approval rating for President Trump at exactly 1:00 PM ET on November 1, 2026. The sole source of truth is the 'Approve' column value in the 'RCP Average' row of the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct outcome thresholds define resolution: if the rating is below 38.1%, exactly 38.1% through 38.7%, or above 38.7%, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same data source and timing requirement, ensuring consistent evaluation across all possible rating outcomes.
