TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/1-11/7)
🌟New
kalshi

Will Trump post on Truth Social this week?

Nov 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 8, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$148,768
Volume 24h:
$117,443N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$99,699
269%

360+

 - Kalshi

360+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:14h:56m

Will Donald Trump make at least 360 Truth Social posts the week of Nov 1, 2026?

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 66¢ buys you 152 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $152 | Net Profit: $52 Multiplier: 1.52x | ROI: 52% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

360+

Trade
67%
3%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
N/A
$17,810
333%
N/A
$14,096
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

340-359

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$13,201
222%
N/A
$9,062
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

320-339

Trade
8%
2%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$14,577
660%
N/A
$8,957
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

300-319

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$10,901
488%
N/A
$6,213
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

220-239

Trade
3%
7%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$10,579
235%
N/A
$6,677
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

280-299

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$10,056
360%
N/A
$5,968
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

260-279

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$11,171
325%
N/A
$7,005
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

240-259

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$11,093
1,393%
N/A
$6,962
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

200-219

Trade
2%
4%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$9,706
310%
N/A
$6,050
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

160-179

Trade
1%
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$12,441
1,154%
N/A
$9,464
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

180-199

Trade
1%
4%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$10,407
402%
N/A
$7,108
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

140-159

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,202
168%
N/A
$6,737
5d 14h 56m
Active
kalshi

<140

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,624
205%
N/A
$5,399
5d 14h 56m
Active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the activity level of a public figure on a specific social media platform over a defined period. It provides a real-time gauge of how frequently the individual engages with the platform during that time, reflecting their communication patterns and outreach efforts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of posts made by Donald Trump on Truth Social during the week of November 1 to November 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific range of post counts, with the first market resolving to Yes if the count is below 140 and subsequent markets resolving to Yes if the count falls within their respective numerical ranges, up to the final market which resolves to Yes if the count is 360 or more. All markets share the same observation window, from 12:00:00 AM ET on November 1 to 11:59:59 PM ET on November 7. The primary source for determining the post count is Roll Call, with alternative sources permitted if Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate. The count includes Truths, ReTruths, Quote Truths, and any replies captured by Roll Call, with posts deleted before 12:00 AM ET on the resolution date excluded from the tally. Each market's "Between" clause is inclusive of both the lower and upper bounds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, ranges of Truth Social post counts. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of market participants regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings may suggest new information or changing expectations.