TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Trump approval rating on October 2?
polymarket

Trump approval rating on October 2?

Volume:
$6,805

37.0–37.4

 - Polymarket

37.0–37.4 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 9:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

37.0–37.4

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

36.5–36.9

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37.5–37.9

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38.0+

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36.0–36.4

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<36.0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final approval rating will be determined by a reputable polling organization's average of publicly available polls conducted close to the resolution date. The specific methodology for calculating the average will be based on established standards within the polling industry, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. This allows for a clear determination of whether a particular approval rating range has been achieved.