TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:00 PM EST
Predict
Description
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Predict
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. Polling data captures stated preferences, while this market represents what people are willing to *put their money* on. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like voter turnout assumptions, strategic voting, or information asymmetry. If polls consistently show a significant lead for one candidate, but this market indicates a closer race, it suggests traders believe the polls may be overestimating that candidate’s support or underestimating the likelihood of unforeseen events impacting the Toronto mayoral election.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the City of Toronto following the mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final vote count to understand how this market will be settled regarding the Toronto mayoral election.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant shifts in public opinion revealed by new polling data, and unexpected campaign controversies involving any candidate could all impact trading activity. Debates and public appearances by the candidates are also likely to cause fluctuations in the market as traders react to their performance and messaging. Any major news events affecting the city of Toronto or its political landscape could also influence the probabilities reflected in this market.
