TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Top Text to Video AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will be top text-to-video?

Volume:
$8,053

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$951
N/A
N/A
$948
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KlingAI

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
$1,172
Settled
No
kalshi

Lightricks

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
$1,227
Settled
No
kalshi

PixVerse

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
$1,227
Settled
No
kalshi

Skywork AI

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Vidu

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,052
N/A
N/A
$1,034
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$1,028
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence system achieves the highest ranking in text-to-video generation capabilities by a specific date. It reflects the competitive landscape of AI development, where companies strive to produce the most advanced technology for converting textual descriptions into high-quality video content. The outcome will indicate which organization's model is deemed superior according to an independent evaluation standard.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-video AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) at 10:00am ET on September 11, 2026. If any listed participant achieves the #1 position, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. When multiple entities share the top rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking rules apply; if none exist, all tied parties equally share the highest position. In such tied scenarios, payout distribution divides $1 by the count of tied candidates, with the result rounded down. The marketplace disclaims any formal association with the governing league or its branding elements.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Text to Video AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different outcomes are shifting in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $8,053, with $552 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a clear picture of market activity and where traders are focusing their attention regarding the leading text-to-video AI technologies.

Currently, it's important to note that there are limited analyst forecasts specifically focused on the weekly performance of Text to Video AI technologies. However, when considering broader AI trends, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional surveys or expert opinions. This market allows for a more dynamic and aggregated assessment of potential outcomes, as traders continuously update their beliefs based on new information and developments within the field. It can be a useful signal to compare against general industry expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for the top Text to Video AI this week, driven entirely by the actions of market participants.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the leading Text to Video AI technology for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on objective metrics such as user engagement, performance benchmarks, and industry recognition. The specific criteria for determining the 'top' AI will be assessed based on publicly available data and widely accepted standards within the AI community, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from leading AI companies regarding new features or performance improvements in their text-to-video models would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected breakthroughs in AI research, or negative press concerning the capabilities or ethical implications of specific technologies, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, widespread adoption of a particular tool by content creators or businesses could signal its dominance and move this market accordingly.